1) Create a prediction
Enter a market title + two outcomes (Outcome A / Outcome B). Pick your outcome, set expiry, and stake MON.
Minimum: 100 MON
2) Matched system (fair)
Your prediction sits open until someone takes the other side with the same stake amount.
Once matched, the pool is locked until expiry.
3) No match in 7 days
If nobody matches it within 7 days, the escrow is refundable.
The 1% creation fee is not refundable.
4) After expiry → propose outcome
When a matched prediction expires, anyone can propose the outcome (A wins or B wins) by posting a bond.
5) Challenge window
After a proposal, anyone can challenge within the challenge window by posting the same bond.
If nobody challenges, it finalizes automatically.
6) If challenged → dispute resolution
Challenged predictions enter dispute mode.
A resolver wallet finalizes the dispute. The correct side wins, and the bond incentives punish bad proposals.